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Monday, January 25, 2010

8 New CIMB CW

8 new call warrants from CIMB will be listed on 25 Jan 2010:
New Warrants Expiration Type Ex Price Ratio
GENS-C4 12/1/2011 Call SGD 1.2000 3 : 1
BYD-C1 12/1/2011 Call HKD 68.0000 50 : 1
TENCENT-C1 12/1/2011 Call HKD 160.0000 160 : 1
JIANGXI-C1 12/1/2011 Call HKD 18.5000 10 : 1
HSBC-C6 12/1/2011 Call HKD 88.0000 40 : 1
CHALCO-C2 12/1/2011 Call HKD 9.5000 8 : 1
BHP-C1 12/1/2011 Call AUD 42.0000 125 : 1
ANZ-C1 12/1/2011 Call AUD 21.5000 60 : 1

Anyone wants to buy my Bursa Malaysia Warrant Calculator?

Bursa Malaysia Weekly Summary

Amazing that KLSE is still holding up. Overseas market is having a correction now. My chart says that it is not a serious one. No strong sell signal yet. Anyway, I'm cutting a few of my positions because the positions is nearing expiration date or the underlying share has broken a certain pattern. No point to hold it cannot go to the direction that I'm betting on.

The summary for KLSE sectors:
Malaysia Monthly Weekly Daily
FBM KLCI Up Up Up
Finance Up Up Up
Construction Up Up Neutral (-)
Plantation Up Up Neutral (-)
Property Up Up Neutral (-)

Sunday, January 24, 2010

International Reserves of BNM


Date MYR (billion) USD (billion)
31-Dec-09 331.3 96.7
15-Jan-10 331.4 96.7

Source.

Thursday, January 21, 2010

Poll: N2N platform

I'm not a fan of N2N trading platform due to its slow user response and not so user friendly interface. If you are using N2N platform to trade (i.e. from Kenanga, JFApex, CIMB etc), how would you rate it generally? Please click on the answer on the left bar of this blog.

Poll Result: Investor/Trader Age

Datuk Yusli is right! There are not enough young investors to replace the old and dead investors. But I think this is not a serious issue. Where can you find money when you are just working, dating, clubbing etc. You need money to buy car, house, iPhone etc. Generally, these are the desires for those in the 20s. I think that after they passed the 30 line, they are more stable with extra cash to invest. That is why the 30s age group has the highest number of investors.

However, if you start after 30, then you cannot afford to make big mistakes in your investment because you usually have a lot of fixed commitments (housing loan, insurance, children etc). This means that you need to be more conservative, therefore reducing your overall return.

So, in my opinion, start young. It is not the amount that you invest. It is the experience that you gained that is more valuable.


Wednesday, January 20, 2010

6 New Call Warrants

6 new call warrants from OSK will be listed on 21 Jan 2010:
New Warrants Expiration Type Ex Price Ratio
DIALOG-CB 20/09/2010 Call MYR 1.3500 1 : 1
PROTON-CC 20/09/2010 Call MYR 3.8000 5 : 1
PPB-CA 20/09/2010 Call MYR 16.0000 16 : 1
UEMLAND-CB 20/09/2010 Call MYR 1.4500 2 : 1
RHBCAP-CB 20/09/2010 Call MYR 5.0000 5 : 1
TOPGLOV-CA 20/09/2010 Call MYR 10.0000 10 : 1

Saturday, January 16, 2010

Commodity Summary

Generally, commodity are down last week.

Commodity Monthly Weekly Daily
Gold Up Up Up
Crude Oil Up Up Neutral (-)
Crude Palm Oil Up Up Down (-)
Rough Rice Up Neutral Down (-)

World Weekly Summary

Major markets were under correction mode last week. Still too early to determine whether this is the top.

World Monthly Weekly Daily
S&P500 Up Up Up
DJI Up Up Up
NasdaqComp Up Up Neutral (-)
Nikkei 225 Up Up Up
Kospi Up Up Up
SSECI Up Up Neutral
HSI Up Up Neutral (-)
TWII Up Up Up
STI Up Up Neutral (-)
JKSE Up Up Up
SENSEX Up Up Up
AORD Up Up Up
NZX50 Up Up Neutral (-)
FTSE Up Up Neutral (-)
DAX Up Up Neutral (-)
RTSI Up Up Up
Bovespa Up Up Neutral (-)

Friday, January 15, 2010

Bursa Malaysia Weekly Summary

KLCI Daily Chart

Uptrend for KLCI is still intact. Slightly overbought. Should be able to pass through 1300 without much difficulty with the help of plantation and finance sector.

All the sectors are in bullish mode:
Malaysia Monthly Weekly Daily
FBM KLCI Up Up Up
Finance Up Up Up
Construction Up Up Up
Plantation Up Up Up
Property Up Up Up

I'm not enjoying the current rally because the actions are all in the penny shares. Since I play mostly warrants, and bluechips are not moving strongly, I just have to wait for my turn. Hopefully it comes eventually. Feeling a little bit lousy because my stock pickings are not working. God of Prosperity! Where is my ang pow?

New KIBB Call Warrants

4 new call warrants from KIBB will be listed on 18 Jan 2010:
New Warrants Expiration Type Ex Price Ratio
CIMB-CI 14/01/2011 Call MYR 12.3000 15 : 1
GENTING-CS 14/01/2011 Call MYR 6.6000 10 : 1
UMW-CB 14/01/2011 Call MYR 6.0000 4 : 1
TM-CL 14/01/2011 Call MYR 3.0000 2 : 1


If you are a Chinese, beware of these warrants! The listing date is 1-18, but the expiry date is 1-14! "Yat Yat Fatt" for seller and "Yat Yat Sei" for buyer?Not a good omen :p

Wednesday, January 13, 2010

Poll: Investor/Trader Age

Datuk Yusli is worried that there is not enough young investors to replace the old and dead investors. So, I'm doing my 1st poll. How old are you? Please click on the answer at the left panel bar.

Saturday, January 09, 2010

Commodity Summary

Gold Futures Weekly Chart

Gold: Daily chart has given me a buy signal. With high probability, I can say that the correction is over. Can it go to 1300 and beyond?

WTI Crude Oil Futures Weekly Chart

Crude oil: Still heading to the direction of 90.00. A spike to 100 is possible.

The summary for the rest:
Commodity Monthly Weekly Daily
Gold Up Up (+) Up (+)
Crude Oil Up Up Up
Crude Palm Oil Up Up Neutral (-)
Rough Rice Up Neutral Neutral

World Weekly Summary

Green everywhere. Every time when my table goes green, we have a sell down! However, most of the index is not yet overbought based on the daily chart. So, maybe this time it is different.

World Monthly Weekly Daily
S&P500 Up Up Up
DJI Up Up Up (+)
NasdaqComp Up Up Up
Nikkei 225 Up Up Up
Kospi Up Up Up
SSECI Up Up Neutral (-)
HSI Up Up (+) Up (+)
TWII Up Up Up
STI Up Up Up
JKSE Up Up Up
SENSEX Up Up Up
AORD Up Up Up
NZX50 Up Up Up
FTSE Up Up Up
DAX Up Up Up
RTSI Up Up Up
Bovespa Up Up Up

Friday, January 08, 2010

Bursa Malaysia Weekly Summary

FBM KLCI Weekly Chart

KLCI has broken the previous resistance. Looks like it is going towards 1300 and above. Most probably it will cover the gap down at 1350. The fuel for this rally should be from the plantation sector. Finance sector is almost at its 2008 high now. Therefore, I don't think that finance will contribute much to this rally.

Malaysia Monthly Weekly Daily
FBM KLCI Up Up Up
Finance Up Up Up
Construction Up Up (+) Up (+)
Plantation Up Up Up
Property Up Up (+) Up (+)

This week, the construction and property sectors gave a buy signal. However, based on my interpretation, this move is not strong. Both still need to correct first before they can move any higher.

Anyhow, daily charts indicate a slight overbought scenario. So, I'm expecting a pullback. This could be the last rally before reality sets in again for the next panic.

International Reserves of BNM

Date MYR (billion) USD (billion)
15-Dec-09 335.1 96.2
31-Dec-09 331.3 96.7

The reason for the drop in MYR amount while the USD amount is up is due to forex revaluation loss (i.e. MYR strengthening).

Source.

Thursday, January 07, 2010

Bad Trading Platform

Boy oh boy. Just getting familiar with this CIMB invest trading platform. I have experience in using N2N and PBank trading platform. Speed wise, PBank is the fastest. I guess the use of active-x technology is the main reason of the speed. The disadvantage is that your favorite list only exist in the computer that you installed the PBank platform.

In contrast to N2N (used by Kenanga, JFApex, CIMB itrade), your favorite list is stored in a centralized server. As it uses Java technology, the loading time will be a problem if you have a slow connection. Furthermore, Java is slower than active-x. Therefore, you need a more powerful computer to get an acceptable speed. Even though it is Java, some how, N2N requires you to use Internet Explorer to run it. I'm not a fan of IE, I'm a Firefox user and hope that something can be done about this. One thing that I don't like about N2N platform is the moving tickers. I prefer not to have them because it serves no purpose. Since I have no use for it, I feel that it is a waste of computing power to have a moving ticker.

The worst platform in my opinion is the one from CIMB invest (the platform you use for overseas trading). I think that it is from CIMB-GK. The Java platform is the worst programming I have encounter. When you search for a stock, the whole Java needs to reload. Terrible. In addition to that, the Watchlist can make you pull-out all your hair. Very lousy. Very not user friendly. I'm really surprised that CIMB uses such a lousy platform. I mean, CIMB is one of the premier bank in Malaysia but they employed the worst trading platform that a investor/trader can get.

Now, I'm stuck with CIMB invest. As I'm busy with trading now, I guess that I just have to bare with it. When markets have calm down, I think that I will go out looking for a new one for my HK and SG share trading.

Wednesday, January 06, 2010

Genm

Genm Weekly Chart

Looks like Genm has broken out of the downtrend line and also the triangle pattern. The sky is the limit now!

Disclosure: Long in CW.

Monday, January 04, 2010

AM New CW

4 new call warrants from AmInvestment Bank will be listed on 5 January 2010:
New Warrants Expiration Type Ex Price Ratio
IJMLAND-CA 3/1/2011 Call MYR 2.2000 3 : 1
TCHONG-CA 3/1/2011 Call MYR 2.9000 3 : 1
WILMAR-C4 3/1/2011 Call SGD 6.4000 20 : 1
SGX-C1 3/1/2011 Call SGD 7.9500 20 : 1

By the way, I have finished redesigning my Bursa Malaysia Warrant Calculator. The only task left now is to populate it with warrant information from HKSE and SGX. This should take another 2 days. My calculator subscribers will receive the new version by this evening (without all the HKSE and SGX) database. After updating the warrant database, I will move to the task of updating my calculator Web page. If you are interested but don't have a Paypal account, then email me for information on how to pay through my Malaysia bank account.

Sunday, January 03, 2010

Commodity Summary

Gold is looking for a support and I believe that it is at current level. The worst case is that it corrects to USD1050. The summary for the rest:

Commodity Monthly Weekly Daily
Gold Up Neutral Down (-)
Crude Oil Up Up Up
Crude Palm Oil Up Up Up (+)
Rough Rice Up Neutral (-) Neutral

World Weekly Summary

SSECI Monthly Chart

SSECI is on track to break the 3450 level. When it succeeds, HK market will be pulled up together. I guess that speculation level is still high in China. What will the Chinese government do to prevent their real estate crash? I guess that government around the world have a tough job ahead. If they pull out the easy money, market will crash. If they keep on pumping money, speculation will create unwanted bubble, which will also crash the market eventually. If the market will crash, either sooner or later, then why are they (the government) keeping the money faucet opened? Maybe everyone just want to keep their job and delay the problem long enough for their successor. I guess that we are just human.

World Monthly Weekly Daily
S&P500 Up Up Up
DJI Up Up Neutral (-)
NasdaqComp Up Up Up
Nikkei 225 Up (+) Up Up
Kospi Up Up Up
SSECI Up Up (+) Up (+)
HSI Up Neutral Neutral (+)
TWII Up Up Up
STI Up Up Up
JKSE Up Up Up (+)
SENSEX Up Up Up
AORD Up Up Up
NZX50 Up Up Up
FTSE Up Up Up
DAX Up Up Up
RTSI Up Up Up
Bovespa Up Up Up (+)

Bursa Malaysia Weekly Summary

Year-end window dressing (or mini Christmas rally) has pushed the major indexes into the buy territory. This rally could continue well into Chinese New Year. I am still very cautious at this stage. As we know, the problem in the US still has not be solved. China and US stimulus have put the respective country into a Viagra state. The inflation play is heating up. Therefore prices are going up and up. As all bubbles for the past 300 years, the last one hopping onto the train will suffer.

Malaysia Monthly Weekly Daily Note
FBM KLCI Up Up Up (+) R=1.3k, S=1.2k.
Finance Up Up Up (+) R=11k, S=9.5k.
Construction Up Neutral Neutral (+) R=250, S=220.
Plantation Up Up Up (+) R=6.4k, S=5.8k.
Property Up Neutral Neutral R=820, S=760.

Friday, January 01, 2010

Fengshui master: Market rally up to H1 2010

2010 prediction by Master Yap. Do you believe in feng shui? I guess that this is a macro economy analysis. To make money, one still have to select the correct stock. Based on Master Yap's analysis, the only sector that we can invest in Malaysia is oil. Good luck and happy 2010!

**********************************

PETALING JAYA: Traders, on your mark.

The year 2010 will see more opportunities than 2009, and will be coloured by opportunities, volatility and lots of activity, says Joey Yap, the founder, CEO and master trainer of the Mastery Academy of Chinese Metaphysics.

The year of the Metal Tiger which begins on Feb 14, is personified by metal chopping wood which creates sparks.

“Metal chopping wood creates lots of activity. Yang metal in the first half of the year also creates a stronger impact. Wood controls earth, which is the wealth element in astrology. Hence, the rally in the stock market will continue up to the first half of the year as the roots of wealth are in the first two pillars of the Bazi chart,” explained Yap.

The second half, meanwhile, is forecast to be less aggressive.

Hence, the stock market will see more excitement than the real economy, which Yap says continues to look sluggish over the longer term, due to there being no water element.

“Water produces wood. With lots of wood but no water, this hinders growth. Hence, the recovery image is one that is somewhat artificial. However, I don’t think 2010 will be the year, we pay for all these artificial growth,” he said.

Yap pointed out that the absence of fire in the Bazi chart also indicates a lack of the happiness sentiment. This might mean there is something hidden or suppressed.

“Perhaps people are still not spending and being conservative with their finances,” said Yap.

Sector-wise, as the banking sector is represented by the metal element, Yap still sees stumbling blocks, and said more painful decisions may have to be made.

“Banks will become very cautious, and may be tighter on their lendings. Also, as only metal can produce water, and there is no water, there will be less liquidity,” he said.

The services sector, which is represented by the Hour Pillar in the Bazi chart, looks set to flourish. With the presence of earth (indirect wealth) and wood, these sectors ought to prosper.

Also, fire-related sectors such as technology, oil, alternative energies, mining are expected do well.

On stocks, Yap picked blue chip companies with strong sales to China. As there is a need of water, Yap would also pick water-related sectors such as fast-moving consumer goods companies.

Yap said Malaysia would grow, although at a slower rate.

Malaysia is also in a relatively sweet spot as Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak is a Yin Wood Day Master.

Yin Wood’s defining characteristics are flexibility and adaptive in nature.

“These are the types who will always ‘find their way’ in life. New policies by Najib will help. Because of this, Malaysia will be better,” said Yap.

Meanwhile, JP Morgan strategist Adrian Mowat advised investors to stay high beta for now, as growth would develop as the dominant style in 2010

He said early 2010 conditions should continue to be very favourable for Asian equities with strong growth, positive earnings estimate revisions, acceptable inflation, ongoing rally in credit markets.

“Stage three of the bull market is an overshoot in valuations as risk-free rates stay low for long.”