Gold at USD8,000?

Is gold a bubble? As long as EPF don't have gold in its portfolio, gold is still not a bubble. :p

Gold at USD8,000? What is the logic behind this?

Read Brodsky's thoughts on gold.

Interesting Chart: UMW

UMW Daily Chart

Could be making a move now. Continuing its uptrend. The major resistance is at around 6.90, after that it is 7.70.

Disclosure: Long

Interesting Chart: Parkson

Parkson Weekly Chart

Looks like broken from a triangle.

Disclosure: No position.

Interesting Chart: Digi

Digi Weekly Chart

Announced MYR0.50 dividend, ex-date on 11 Nov 2010. Since the announcement date, the price has moved 60 cents. Based on the chart, it should challenge the all time high of 27.50.

Disclosure: No position

Bursa Malaysia Weekly Summary

KLCI Daily Chart

Are we getting complacent? KLCI keeps going up. Is this to prepare for the listing of Petronas's chemical company? Hopefully, the oil and gas sector is pulled up due to this excitement. Daily KLCI RSI bearish divergence may have been broken based on last Friday's action. I must admit that it is hard to interpret the chart now. I feel uncomfortable buying in a very overbought condition since the anticipated support area is too far from the current price. On the other hand, I have not seen any selling signal. No euphoric buying yet. So, just sitting tight. Remember, big money is made during a big move. Don't go for the ikan bilis profit of 10-20%, aim for above 50% (or 100% if you are trading warrants).

Sector summary:

Malaysia	Monthly	Weekly	Daily
FBM KLCI	Up	Up	Up
Finance	Up	Up	Up
Construction	Up	Up	Up
Plantation	Up	Up	Up
Property	Up	Up	Up

Day of Warrants

9 new warrants will be listed on 29 Oct 2010. The first 5s are from CIMB while the last 4s are from OSK.

New Warrants	Expiration	Type	Ex Price	Ratio	Call Price
BJTOTO-JA	28/07/2011	Bull	MYR 3.6500	4 : 1	MYR 3.8000
WCT-CC	28/10/2011	Call	MYR 3.2000	4 : 1
AFFIN-CD	28/10/2011	Call	MYR 3.0000	4 : 1
YTLPOWR-CB	28/10/2011	Call	MYR 2.1500	2 : 1
AIRASIA-CJ	28/10/2011	Call	MYR 2.3500	3 : 1
GLD-C3	27/06/2011	Call	USD 125.0000	350 : 1
AIA-C1	27/06/2011	Call	HKD 18.0000	6 : 1
MMCCORP-CC	27/06/2011	Call	MYR 2.9000	3 : 1
MAYBANK-CP	27/06/2011	Call	MYR 8.5000	7 : 1

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More Warrants

4 new warrants from AM will be listed on 28 Oct 2010:

New Warrants	Expiration	Type	Ex Price	Ratio
QSR-CA	18/08/2011	Call	MYR 5.1500	6 : 1
WCT-CB	18/08/2011	Call	MYR 3.1000	4 : 1
GLD-C2	18/08/2011	Call	USD 130.0000	380 : 1
APPLE-C3	18/08/2011	Call	USD 300.0000	1350 : 1

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Bursa Malaysia Weekly Summary

Chart is still up, but can see some weakness. However, construction and property still looking strong with increasing volume.

Sector summary:

Malaysia	Monthly	Weekly	Daily
FBM KLCI	Up	Up	Up
Finance	Up	Up	Up
Construction	Up	Up	Up
Plantation	Up	Up	Up
Property	Up	Up	Up

Still holding my position. Hopefully, the rally can continue until the year of the rabbit.

International Reserves of BNM

Date	MYR (billion)	USD (billion)
30-Sep-10	310.8	100.7
15-Oct-10	322.7	104.6

Source. This is a huge jump considering that it is not due to quarterly readjustment. Anyhow, need another 2 or 3 data points to determine whether this is a trend or just a one time event.

3 New Structured Warrant

3 new structured warrant from CIMB will be listed on 22 Oct 2010:

New Warrants	Expiration	Type	Ex Price	Ratio	Call Price
MAXIS-JA	21/07/2011	Bull	MYR 4.7500	5 : 1	MYR 4.9500
MPHB-JA	21/07/2011	Bull	MYR 1.8000	3 : 1	MYR 1.9000
UMW-CD	21/10/2011	Call	MYR 6.5000	5 : 1

Bursa Malaysia Weekly Summary

KLCI Daily Chart

Bearish divergence detected in the daily chart. This is due to the financial sector which shows the same behavior. Property sector is very overbought but should be able to go up further after a correction (current reading at 950, next resistance at around 1100). Construction sector is also very overbought and should correct before challenging the next resistance (current reading at 270, next resistance at around 285). Plantation rallied a lot last week and now is also in the very overbought zone (current reading at 7400, next resistance at 8000).

Based on the monthly chart, only the financial sector is in the very overbought zone. Plantation, property and construction will have to do some catching up.

Summary:

Malaysia	Monthly	Weekly	Daily
FBM KLCI	Up	Up	Up
Finance	Up	Up	Up
Construction	Up	Up	Up
Plantation	Up	Up	Up
Property	Up	Up	Up

4 New Call Warrants

4 new call warrants from CIMB will be listed on 18 Oct 2010:

New Warrants	Expiration	Type	Ex Price	Ratio
DRBHCOM-CC	18/10/2011	Call	MYR 1.1500	2 : 1
KLK-CJ	18/10/2011	Call	MYR 17.0000	20 : 1
MMCCORP-CB	18/10/2011	Call	MYR 3.1500	4 : 1
MRCB-CE	18/10/2011	Call	MYR 2.1000	3 : 1

Poll: Peak Oil

Wow! So many people oil there believed in peak oil. That is a good sign. I hope that those that believe in peak oil are well prepared for the future.

More Warrants

4 more warrants, this time from CIMB, will be listed on 13 Oct 2010:

New Warrants	Expiration	Type	Ex Price	Ratio	Call Price
GAMUDA-CN	11/10/2011	Call	MYR 3.8800	5 : 1
SAPCRES-CC	11/10/2011	Call	MYR 2.4000	3 : 1
MAYBANK-JA	11/10/2011	Bull	MYR 7.0400	10 : 1	MYR 7.4800
PBBANK-JA	11/10/2011	Bull	MYR 10.0500	15 : 1	MYR 10.6800

6 New Call Warrants

6 new call warrants from OSK will be listed on 12 Oct 2010:

New Warrants	Expiration	Type	Ex Price	Ratio
DRBHCOM-CB	7/10/2011	Call	MYR 1.2900	1 : 1
TCHONG-CE	7/10/2011	Call	MYR 5.6000	8 : 1
TOPGLOV-CD	7/10/2011	Call	MYR 5.3000	10 : 1
GENS-CC	7/10/2011	Call	SGD 1.9500	8 : 1
GENHK-C2	7/10/2011	Call	USD 0.4500	3 : 1
SLV-C1	7/10/2011	Call	USD 20.5000	90 : 1

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World Market Weekly Summary

Problem? What problem? The stock market seems to have forgotten the Greeks, the PIIGS, the jobless, the property bubble or anything.

World	Monthly	Weekly	Daily
S&P500	Up	Up	Up
DJI	Up	Up	Up
NasdaqComp	Up	Up	Up
Nikkei 225	Down	Neutral	Up (+)
Kospi	Up	Up	Up
SSECI	Down	Neutral	Up (+)
HSI	Up	Up	Up
TWII	Up	Up	Up
STI	Up	Up	Up
JKSE	Up	Up	Up
SENSEX	Up	Up	Up
AORD	Up	Up	Up (+)
NZX50	Up	Up	Up (+)
FTSE	Up	Up	Up
DAX	Up	Up	Up (+)
RTSI	Up	Up	Up
Bovespa	Up	Up	Up

.....but one day, we may get caught off guard again....and kaboom! But that day was not yesterday :p

Bursa Malaysia Weekly Summary

Every sector is very extended now. Correction is imminent but can't say exactly when. If you have a position, sit tight. If no position, then just watch.

Malaysia	Monthly	Weekly	Daily
FBM KLCI	Up	Up	Up
Finance	Up	Up	Up
Construction	Up	Up	Up
Plantation	Up	Up	Up
Property	Up	Up	Up

International Reserves of BNM

Date	MYR (billion)	USD (billion)
15-Sep-10	313.3	95.9
30-Sep-10	310.8	100.7

Source.

Crude Oil

WTI Crude Oil Weekly Chart

Watch out!17 months of consolidation where crude oil traded between 60-87 may be over. There is a possibility of it breaking above 87 this time. If the price goes up too fast, we are gonna have another recession.

Election time is coming, will rising crude oil (therefore rising petrol price) be the factor for a change?

5 New Structured Warrants

5 new warrants from CIMB will be listed on 5 Oct 2010:

New Warrants	Expiration	Type	Ex Price	Ratio	Call Price
PROTON-CF	4/10/2011	Call	MYR 4.8000	5 : 1
GENTING-CV	4/10/2011	Call	MYR 9.8000	12 : 1
TENAGA-CR	4/10/2011	Call	MYR 9.0000	6 : 1
GENM-JA	4/10/2011	Bull	MYR 2.5500	5 : 1	MYR 2.7000
GENHK-C1	4/10/2011	Call	USD 0.5000	3 : 1