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Monday, August 30, 2010

World Market Weekly Summary

Only downgrades, no upgrades:
World Monthly Weekly Daily
S&P500 Down Down Down
DJI Neutral (-) Down Down (-)
NasdaqComp Neutral Down Down
Nikkei 225 Down Down Down
Kospi Up Up Neutral (-)
SSECI Down Neutral Neutral (-)
HSI Up Neutral (-) Neutral
TWII Up Up Neutral (-)
STI Up Up Neutral
JKSE Up Up Up
SENSEX Up Up Neutral (-)
AORD Down Down Down (-)
NZX50 Down Down Down
FTSE Neutral Down (-) Down (-)
DAX Up Neutral Down (-)
RTSI Up Neutral (-) Down (-)
Bovespa Up Up Neutral

Saturday, August 28, 2010

Interesting Charts: Plantation

Since plantation sector is going strong, lets look at some interesting plantation stocks.

IJMPlnt Weekly Chart

IJMPlnt: Looks like a breakout from a triangle formation.


IOICorp Weekly Chart

IOICorp: A breakout from a downtrend line.

KLK Weekly Chart

KLK: A breakout from a downtrend line.

Sime Weekly Chart

Sime: Found support at the uptrend line. Weekly RSI downtrend line indicates a breakout in the future.

Disclosure: No positions.

Bursa Malaysia Weekly Summary

KLCI Weekly Chart

Where is the correction for KLCI? Daily and weekly chart is at overbought territory. Monthly is almost overbought. It seems that the new KLCI index behaves differently from the old one. With only 30 component stock, it is much easier to manipulate the index. When the rules of the game changed, as a trader, we need to change our strategy too. Nothing to complain.

Looks like the weakest sector is construction and property. The strongest is still finance followed by plantation. Can we have a index to track the O&G sector, Mr Yusli?

Malaysia Monthly Weekly Daily
FBM KLCI Up Up Up
Finance Up Up Up
Construction Up Up Neutral (-)
Plantation Up Up Up
Property Up Up Neutral (-)

Wednesday, August 25, 2010

New Call Warrants

4 new call warrants from CIMB will be listed on 26 Aug 2010:
New Warrants Expiration Type Ex Price Ratio
UNISEM-CB 25/08/2011 Call MYR 2.0000 3 : 1
IOICORP-CP 25/08/2011 Call MYR 5.0000 4 : 1
UEMLAND-CD 25/08/2011 Call MYR 1.5800 2 : 1
MAYBULK-CA 25/08/2011 Call MYR 2.6800 3 : 1

Saturday, August 21, 2010

Interesting Charts

Dialog Weekly Chart

Dialog: Slowly being push up. Too slow for warrant play (which is going to expired soon).


Genm Weekly Chart

Genm: Finally broken out. However, it moved so fast. Didn't get a chance to catch it.


SPSetia Weekly Chart

SPSetia: A huge triangle breakout. Daily almost overbought.

Tenaga Weekly Chart

Tenaga: Could be a break out. Next major resistance is the downtrend line.


UMW Weekly Chart

UMW: Could be making a move now. Good result, good reason to push.

Disclosure: Long in SPSetia, Tenaga.

World Market Weekly Summary

Mixed performance around the world. Best market is Indonesia, S.Korea. US market is still looking for a base.

World Monthly Weekly Daily
S&P500 Down Down (-) Down (-)
DJI Up Down (-) Neutral
NasdaqComp Neutral Down Down (-)
Nikkei 225 Down Down Down
Kospi Up Up Up (+)
SSECI Down Neutral Up (+)
HSI Up Up Neutral
TWII Up Up Up (+)
STI Up Up Neutral
JKSE Up Up Up
SENSEX Up Up Up
AORD Down Down (-) Neutral
NZX50 Down Down Down (-)
FTSE Neutral Neutral Neutral
DAX Up Neutral (-) Neutral
RTSI Up Up Neutral
Bovespa Up Up Neutral

Friday, August 20, 2010

Bursa Malaysia Weekly Summary

KLCI Weekly Chart

KLCI: Daily overbought. Weekly almost overbought. Amazing that the index keeps going up. Next week, we should see some correction. 1400 is a strong resistance point. Don't think that it can be broken with one attempt.

Finance Sector Weekly Chart

Finance: This is the leading sector that powers KLCI up higher. Daily, weekly and monthly overbought.

Plantation Sector Weekly Chart

Plantation: Still struggling to break the overhead resistance. A laggard sector.

Property Sector Weekly Chart

Property: Most probably the break above the 1 year resistance at 840 is successful. Is the property play shifting to Malaysia? Malaysia is a laggard in property play as compared to China, Hong Kong and Singapore. Is the money flowing in now?


Construction Sector Weekly Chart

Construction: Struggling to break the overhead resistance.

Summary:
Malaysia Monthly Weekly Daily
FBM KLCI Up Up Up (+)
Finance Up Up Up (+)
Construction Up Up Up (+)
Plantation Up Up Up
Property Up Up Up (+)

So, what are you playing. I guess that if one miss the leading sector (finance), then I should go after the laggard (property, construction, plantation). Which sector shall it be? Any suggestions?

5 New Call Warrants

5 new call warrants from OSK will be listed on 26 Aug 2010:
New Warrants Expiration Type Ex Price Ratio
GENM-CO 23/08/2011 Call MYR 2.8000 4 : 1
KOSSAN-CA 23/08/2011 Call MYR 3.4000 6 : 1
UEMLAND-CC 23/08/2011 Call MYR 1.5500 3 : 1
AXIATA-CH 23/08/2011 Call MYR 4.1000 6 : 1
HSI-CC 23/08/2012 Call 20000 12000 : 1

International Reserves of BNM

Date MYR (billion) USD (billion)
30-Jul-10 310.6 95.0
13-Aug-10 310.8 95.1

Source.

Monday, August 16, 2010

World Market Weekly Summary

Minor downgrades everywhere:
World Monthly Weekly Daily
S&P500 Down Neutral Neutral (-)
DJI Up Neutral (-) Neutral (-)
NasdaqComp Neutral Down (-) Neutral (-)
Nikkei 225 Down Down Down (-)
Kospi Up Up Neutral (-)
SSECI Down Neutral Neutral (-)
HSI Up Up Neutral (-)
TWII Up Up Neutral (-)
STI Up Up Neutral (-)
JKSE Up Up Up
SENSEX Up Up Up
AORD Down Neutral Neutral (-)
NZX50 Down Down (-) Neutral (-)
FTSE Neutral Neutral Neutral (-)
DAX Up Up Neutral (-)
RTSI Up Up Neutral (-)
Bovespa Up Up Neutral (-)

Bursa Malaysia Weekly Summary

KLCI Daily Chart

Looks like KLCI has corrected from the overbought condition. It is now on a rebound, but this should not get too far. It needs to correct down to below 1340 before it can make the next big move (up or down).

Sector wise, the strongest is the plantation:
Malaysia Monthly Weekly Daily
FBM KLCI Up Up Neutral (-)
Finance Up Up Neutral (-)
Construction Up Up Neutral
Plantation Up Up Up
Property Up Up Neutral (-)

Wednesday, August 11, 2010

New 4 Call & 4 Bull Warrants

4 new call warrants from OSK was listed today:
New Warrants Expiration Type Ex Price Ratio
BJCORP-CC 8/6/2011 Call MYR 1.0000 2 : 1
IOICORP-CO 8/6/2011 Call MYR 4.9000 6 : 1
PLUS-CC 8/6/2011 Call MYR 3.5000 4 : 1
HSBC-C7 8/6/2011 Call HKD 78.0000 40 : 1

After the initial success of KO everyone that bought BJCorp-JA bull warrant, CIMB has issued another 4 bull warrants that was also listed today:
New Warrants Expiration Type Ex Price Ratio Call Price
MISC-JA 10/5/2011 Bull MYR 7.1000 10 : 1 MYR 7.5000
BJCORP-JB 10/5/2011 Bull MYR 0.7800 2 : 1 MYR 0.8700
UEMLAND-JA 10/5/2011 Bull MYR 1.2400 3 : 1 MYR 1.3600
MRCB-JA 10/5/2011 Bull MYR 1.2800 3 : 1 MYR 1.4000

For those who got KO, maybe you can have your revenge with BJCorp-JB.

These new warrants are all included in my killer Bursa Malaysia Warrant Calculator - Don't trade warrants without it!

Saturday, August 07, 2010

Bursa Malaysia Weekly Summary

KLCI Daily Chart

KLCI still holding up. However, looks like it is correcting from an overbought situation. Uptrend line support is at 1320.

Construction sector looks a little bit weak. Plantation is tearing up due to higher CPO price. Will the wheat play spread to all the agriculture commodities?

Malaysia Monthly Weekly Daily
FBM KLCI Up Up Up
Finance Up Up Up
Construction Up Up Neutral (-)
Plantation Up Up Up
Property Up Up Up

International Reserves of BNM

Date MYR (billion) USD (billion)
15-Jul-10 309.9 94.8
30-Jul-10 310.6 95.0

Source.

Wednesday, August 04, 2010

4 New Call Warrants

4 new call warrants from AM Investment Bank was listed today (4 Aug 2010):
New Warrants Expiration Type Ex Price Ratio
MUDAJYA-CB 25/03/2011 Call MYR 5.6500 8 : 1
GAMUDA-CL 25/03/2011 Call MYR 3.3300 3 : 1
UNISEM-CA 25/03/2011 Call MYR 2.1800 4 : 1
TM-CN 25/03/2011 Call MYR 3.3200 3 : 1

Monday, August 02, 2010

World Market Weekly Summary

More upgrades than downgrades. This is good news for the bulls:
World Monthly Weekly Daily
S&P500 Down Neutral Up (+)
DJI Neutral Neutral Up (+)
NasdaqComp Neutral Neutral Up (+)
Nikkei 225 Down Down Neutral (+)
Kospi Up Up Up
SSECI Down Neutral (+) Up (+)
HSI Neutral Neutral Up
TWII Neutral Up (+) Up
STI Up Up Up
JKSE Up Up Up
SENSEX Up Up Neutral (-)
AORD Down Neutral (+) Up (+)
NZX50 Down Down Neutral (+)
FTSE Down Neutral Up
DAX Up Up Up
RTSI Neutral Neutral Up
Bovespa Neutral Neutral Up

Bursa Malaysia Weekly Summary

KLCI Daily Chart

KLCI has reached the overbought region based on the daily chart. Therefore, weakness is expected.

Everything still continues to go up. However, construction is showing some weaknesses. The breakout from the horizontal resistance line could be a false one if the sector index goes under 248. So, beware!

Malaysia Monthly Weekly Daily
FBM KLCI Up Up Up
Finance Up Up Up
Construction Up Up Up
Plantation Up Up Up
Property Up Up Up