Ads

Sunday, November 23, 2008

To Test The Downtrend Line?

All sectors are still pointing downwards:
Malaysia Longterm Midterm Shorterm
KLCI Down Down Down
Finance Down Down Down
Construction Down Down Down (-)
Plantation Down Down Down (-)
Property Down Down Down
Mesdaq Down Down Down (-)
2nd Board Down Down Down (-)

However, the downward pressure doesn't look strong. This observation is obtained base on the daily MACD reading that shows some contradiction with the price movement. A good chance that the rebound may continue towards the downtrend line that is currently at around 950. Maybe the rebound can just stuck at 920 again. The important point is that the probability is still not favorable for going long.


KLCI Daily Chart

For the rest of the world, the reading is still gloomy:
World Longterm Midterm Shorterm
S&P500 Down Down Down
DJI Down Down Down
NasdaqComp Down Down Down
Nikkei 225 Down Down Down
Kospi Down Down Down
SSECI Down Down Neutral
HSI Down Down Down
TWII Down Down Down
STI Down Down Down
SENSEX Down Down Down
FTSE Down Down Down
DAX Down Down Down

After China unveiled its stimulus package, SSECI seems to have stabilize. Well, President elect Obama has unveiled his stimulus package that will create 2.5 million jobs. My questions are:
1. Where is he going to get the money?
2. Can the banks be saved before the effect is seen?
3. Are investment bankers and auto plant workers going to the work of shovelling sands, welding metals and laying bricks?

Anyway, base on the Chinese announcement and the effect on the Shanghai stock market, I guess that NYSE and Nasdaq will also stabilize (unless Citi crashes on this coming Monday).

No comments: