- US housing peak and the house value drops
- Derivatives (aka financial WMD) losses value
- Bank write down their losses
- Bank shares drops
- Bank collapse due to insufficient capital and over leverage
- Derivatives value drops again
- Any institution that bought the derivatives at their peak all drops
- Banks don't trust banks, people don't trust bank/government
- Nobody can get any loan, business don't have money for day-to-day operation
- Cry of recession!
- Mutual fund & hedge fund incur losses
- Investor withdraw money from funds
- Funds sell shares to raise money
- Shares drop again
- Panic panic panic! (repeat step 11 to 14 until everyone gives up hope)
- Cry of depression!
- (People jumping out of windows)
- (No one left to sell)
- Market hits bottom and recovers
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Friday, October 10, 2008
A Chain of Unfortunate Events
A chain of events to got us into the mother of all financial crisis:
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